A Study of the Relationship between PVR INOX Ltd. and NIFTY 50 Index
1. Introduction of the Company
PVR INOX Ltd. is India’s largest multiplex cinema exhibition company, formed after the merger of PVR Cinemas and INOX Leisure. The company operates across major Indian cities and is a prominent player in the media and entertainment industry. Its stock performance is influenced by consumer spending, film releases, and macroeconomic conditions.
2. Objective of the Study
To determine the Beta (β) of PVR INOX Ltd. and examine its statistical significance in relation to the NIFTY 50 Index, thereby assessing the stock’s sensitivity to market movements.
3. Literature Review
Kaur and Rao (2014) examined the impact of NIFTY 50 movements on individual stocks in India and found that sector-specific companies often exhibit lower sensitivity to benchmark indices compared to diversified conglomerates.
Sharma and Mehta (2018) studied volatility spillover effects between the NIFTY 50 and large-cap stocks and concluded that while some stocks closely track market movements, others are more influenced by industry-specific and firm-level factors.
These studies suggest that not all stocks respond equally to market index fluctuations.
4. Data Collection
- Data Source: NSE historical price data
- Period of Study: December 2024 – November 2025
- Frequency: Weekly (Friday closing prices)
Variables Used:
- Independent Variable (X): NIFTY 50 Index
- Dependent Variable (Y): PVR INOX Ltd. stock returns
A linear regression analysis was performed by regressing PVR INOX weekly returns on NIFTY 50 weekly returns.
5. Data Analysis
Regression Equation
Return of PVR INOX Ltd. = 28.27 − 0.00126 × Return of NIFTY 50
Where:
- Y: Return of PVR INOX Ltd.
- X: Return of NIFTY 50 Index
Statistical Results (from Regression Output)
- Number of Observations (N): 47
- R Square: 0.0070
- Adjusted R Square: −0.0150
- Beta (β): −0.00126
- t-statistic (Beta): −0.564
- P-value (Beta): 0.575
- F-statistic: 0.318
- Significance F: 0.575
Explanation
The regression results indicate a very weak relationship between the returns of PVR INOX Ltd. and the NIFTY 50 Index.
The beta coefficient (−0.00126) is negative and extremely close to zero, suggesting that changes in the NIFTY 50 have negligible impact on PVR INOX stock returns. This implies that PVR INOX does not move in tandem with the overall market.
The p-value of 0.575 for the beta coefficient is greater than both 0.05 and 0.01, indicating that the beta is statistically insignificant. Hence, the relationship between market returns and PVR INOX returns is not meaningful.
The R-square value of 0.007 shows that only 0.7% of the variation in PVR INOX returns is explained by movements in the NIFTY 50. The remaining 99.3% variation is due to other factors such as movie releases, occupancy rates, discretionary consumer spending, competition from OTT platforms, and company-specific financial performance.
The F-statistic (0.318) with a high p-value confirms that the overall regression model is not statistically significant.
6. Conclusion
The regression analysis reveals that PVR INOX Ltd. has very low and statistically insignificant sensitivity to the NIFTY 50 Index. Unlike market-driven stocks, PVR INOX’s performance is largely influenced by industry-specific and firm-level factors rather than overall market movements.
This indicates that PVR INOX can be classified as a low market-dependent stock, making it suitable for diversification in a portfolio. Investors should focus more on sector trends, box-office performance, consumer demand, and operational efficiency rather than broader market indices while evaluating this stock.
7. References
- Kaur, H., & Rao, P. (2014). Impact of Benchmark Indices on Individual Stock Returns in India. Asia-Pacific Journal of Finance.
- Sharma, R., & Mehta, K. (2018). Volatility Spillover in Indian Stock Market. Journal of Financial Markets in India.
- NSE India – NIFTY 50 Historical Data
- Annual Reports of PVR INOX Ltd.