Relationship of Deccan Cements Ltd. with Nifty 50
Author :- DHRUV PADGE [109] KOHINOOR BUSINESS SCHOOL.
Introduction
Deccan Cements Ltd. is a leading cement manufacturing company in India, known for its high-quality cement products and efficient production processes. Established in 1979, the company has played a significant role in India’s infrastructure development. Deccan Cements focuses on cost-efficient operations, sustainability, and technological advancements to maintain its competitive position in the market. This report aims to analyze the relationship between Deccan Cements Ltd.’s stock price and the Nifty 50 index to determine its market behavior and risk exposure.
Objective
To find out the Beta value of Deccan Cements Ltd. and understand its significance in relation to market volatility.
Literature Review
Cement Industry Growth and Market Dynamics
Mehta & Kumar (2023) Presented the Indian cement industry has experienced consistent growth due to rapid urbanization, infrastructure expansion, and government initiatives like the Smart Cities Mission. The industry has seen a CAGR of 5.6% over the past decade, with demand primarily driven by housing and commercial construction. However, challenges such as rising input costs and environmental regulations have affected profitability.
Stock Performance and Market Volatility in Cement Sector
Sharma & Verma (2022) presented stock performance trends in the Indian cement industry and found that cement stocks exhibit moderate volatility compared to the broader market indices. The study concluded that companies like Deccan Cements, ACC, and UltraTech Cement tend to have Beta values close to 1, suggesting they move in line with market fluctuations but with slightly lower volatility than high-risk sectors like IT and banking.
Data Collection
The stock price data for Deccan Cements Ltd. and Nifty 50 was collected from the NSE website for the period 01/01/2024 to 31/12/2024. Weekly closing prices were extracted, and weekly returns were calculated. Weekly returns of Nifty 50 were considered as the independent variable (X), while weekly returns of Deccan Cements Ltd. were the dependent variable (Y). A regression model was applied to determine the Beta coefficient.
Data Analysis
Regression Equation :-
Deccan Cement Return (Y) = 0.00037 + 0.96 × Nifty 50 Return (X)
N = 48 , R² = 0.11 , (T-Stat = 2.34) , F = 5.48
Interpretation
The regression equation describes the relationship between Nifty 50 (X) and Deccan Cements’ share price (Y), indicating that Deccan Cements’ share price is the dependent variable, while Nifty 50 is the independent variable.
The intercept (0.00037) suggests a minimal independent movement in Deccan Cements’ stock price when Nifty 50 remains unchanged.
The Beta coefficient (0.96) suggests that for every 1% increase in Nifty 50, Deccan Cements’ share price is expected to increase by 0.96%.
The R² value of 0.11 implies that only 11% of the variation in Deccan Cements’ share price can be explained by changes in Nifty 50, indicating a weak correlation.
The F-value 5.48 for the model suggests the overall significance of the regression, and the p-value 0.02 for the slope determines whether the relationship is statistically significant.
Conclusion
Since the Beta value is 0.96, which is less than 1, it indicates that Deccan Cements is less volatile than the market. This means it is a relatively stable stock and does not react as aggressively to market fluctuations, making it a moderate-risk investment suitable for long-term investors.
References
Mehta, R., & Kumar, A. (2023). Growth and Challenges in the Indian Cement Industry. International Journal of Business & Economics, 12(3), 45-58.
Sharma, P., & Verma, S. (2022). Stock Performance and Market Volatility in the Indian Cement Sector. Financial Research Review, 10(2), 112-127.