Inflation in World
Author-Rachit V. Naik.
· Weighted Median Inflation Around the World: A Measure of Core Inflation
Researchers have found that the traditional way of measuring core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, has some flaws. A new approach, called the weighted median inflation rate, has been shown to be more accurate and reliable. This method looks at price changes across all industries and excludes any extreme outliers, giving a clearer picture of underlying inflation. Studies have found that this approach is less volatile and more closely linked to economic activity, making it a valuable tool for policymakers and economists.
Research shows that global monetary developments have a significant impact on US inflation rates. In the 1970s, a surge in world money growth led to rising commodity prices, which in turn affected US wholesale and consumer prices. This pattern suggests that US inflation is influenced by international factors, and that domestic policy alone cannot control inflation. The study highlights the importance of considering global monetary conditions when analyzing US inflation, and suggests that stable monetary policies worldwide are crucial to maintaining low and stable inflation rates.
· The Long-run Relationship among World Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Inflation in the Philippines
A study in the Philippines found that when world oil prices rise, inflation also increases. For every 1% increase in oil prices, inflation goes up by 0.31%. Additionally, when the Philippine peso loses value, inflation also rises by 0.42%. This means that the country’s inflation is heavily influenced by external factors like oil prices and exchange rates, making it important for policymakers to manage these factors to control inflation.
· Comments on stylized facts of globalization and world inflation
Research shows that changes in world oil prices greatly affect inflation in the Philippines. When oil prices go up, the cost of living also increases, and when the Philippine peso loses value, imports become more expensive, leading to higher inflation. This means that the country’s economy is sensitive to external factors, making it important for policymakers to find ways to reduce the impact of oil price changes on inflation.
A recent study found that people who have experienced high inflation in the past are more likely to worry about inflation and want governments to take action to control it. However, this concern fades over time, especially among younger people who haven’t lived through high inflation. This means that as inflation stays low, people may become less supportive of efforts to control it, which could make it harder for governments to keep inflation in check in the future.
· Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations
Research shows that people who have lived through high inflation are more worried about it and want the government to control it. But for younger people who haven’t experienced high inflation, it’s not a big concern. This means that as time passes and inflation stays low, people may care less about keeping prices under control, making it harder for governments to do so.
· The inflation-hedging performance of industrial metals in the world’s most industrialized countries
A study found that industrial metals like aluminum, copper, and zinc can help protect investors from rising prices (inflation) in developed countries. This means that investors can use these metals to reduce the risks associated with inflation. The study also showed that the metals’ ability to hedge against inflation improved after the 2008 financial crisis, making them a potential safe-haven for investors.
· The Inflation Hedging Performance Of Reits In Selected Countries Across The World
A study compared how well real estate investment trusts (REITs) in four countries – Nigeria, Malaysia, the US, and the UK – protected investors from inflation. The results showed that Nigerian and Malaysian REITs provided the best protection against inflation, while US and UK REITs were less effective. This information can help investors make informed decisions and suggests that governments and central banks in these countries should work to keep inflation under control to attract more international investors.
· Inflation, banking, and economic growth
Researchers found that inflation can harm economic growth by affecting the banking sector, even at moderate rates. High inflation can reduce bank lending, lower real interest rates, and decrease bank profitability. This can lead to reduced investment and economic activity. The study suggests that inflation above 5% can be harmful, and reducing inflation can have a positive impact on the financial system and economy.
· Rotemberg in a trend inflation world: An empirical investigation
Researchers compared two popular economic models, Calvo and Rotemberg, to see which one better fit US economic data from 1984 to 2008. They found that the Calvo model was a better fit, especially when accounting for trend inflation, which is a steady increase in prices over time. The study also found that the Calvo model suggested a lower degree of price indexation, which means that businesses don’t adjust their prices as much in response to past inflation. These findings have important implications for understanding the economy and making monetary policy decisions.
· Conclusion.
So its my point of view from studying some of the research’s about Inflation in world it is one of the important process for each and every country in the world. It affects worldwide by reducing the purchasing power of peoples money. As price rises the value of money falls, making it harder for people to afford basic necessities. High inflation can also slow down economic growth, lead to unemployment, and reduce investment. Countries with high inflation often see their currency value drop, making imports more expensive and exacerbating the problem. This can lead to economic instability, reduced living standards, and social unrest.
· REFERENCES:
· Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Olubiyi, Ebenezer A. & Adedeji, Adedayo O. (2023): The inflation-hedging performance of industrial metals in the world’s most industrialized countries
· Ascari, Guido & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Rossi, Lorenza (2011): Rotemberg in a trend inflation world: An empirical investigation
· Ball, Laurence & Carvalho, Carlos & Evans, Christopher & Antonio Ricci, Luca (2024): Weighted Median Inflation Around the World: A Measure of Core Inflation
· Deluna, Roperto Jr (2014): The Long-run Relationship among World Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Inflation in the Philippines
· Ehrmann, Michael & Tzamourani, Panagiota (2012): Memories of high inflation
· Ina Hajdini & Edward S. Knotek & John Leer & Mathieu Pedemonte & Robert W. Rich & Raphael Schoenle (2022): Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations
· John H. Boyd & Bruce A. Champ (2006): Inflation, banking, and economic growth
· Michael W. Keran (1977): U.S. and world inflation
· Osasumwen Edionwe & Olusegun Adebayo OGUNBA (2017): The Inflation Hedging Performance Of Reits In Selected Countries Across The World
· Richard W. Fisher (2008): Comments on stylized facts of globalization and world inflation