Food policy
Devika Warik
ARTICLE 1 -The impacts of climate change on cropland allocation, crop production, output prices and social welfare in Israel: A structural econometric framework
We suggest a model that, in a partial equilibrium scenario, simulates the effects of climate change on crop output and food prices. Our model includes a set of Laspeyres price and amount indices that connect structurally estimated market-level demand functions with community-level supply functions for produce. The supply estimation is confined to reproduce aggregate supply data and takes into consideration corner solutions linked to disaggregate land use observations. In Israel, where local agriculture is safeguarded by trade tariffs and quotas, we use the model to evaluate the effects of climate change. The importance of endogenizing prices in climate change simulations is highlighted by the stark differences in simulation outcomes when we enable prices to change in response to supply changes. The findings indicate that anticipated climate changes for Israel are anticipated to be advantageous to (KAN ET AL 2022)
ARTICLE 2 – Assessment of the importance of climate, land, and soil on the global supply for agricultural products and global food security: Evidence from Madagascar
63.00% of the world’s population (IPC/CH Phase 3 or above) and more than 50.00% of the world’s uncultivated territory are found in Sub-Saharan Africa. Numerous limitations enforced by the climate, physical infrastructure, and human activities affect the region’s production environment. This research emphasises the impact of natural resources and crop-specific requirements, such as soil and climate characteristics, on agricultural trade and food security in various nations. Our study was based on the comparative advantage theory and the factor endowment method to examine the global supply of crops. We discovered that the tropical region’s climate decreased the quality of its soil and its agricultural output. Madagascar and other least developed African nations battle with soil management in comparison to the majority of developing Asian nations. (Andrianarimanana et al2023)
ARTICLE 3 – The effects of crime and violence on food insecurity and consumption in Nigeria.
Families residing in war zones are susceptible to violence and crime committed by a variety of actors. This research discovers that becoming a victim increases food insecurity and reduces consumption of both food and non-food items. It does this by utilising variation in the timing, intensity, and spatial distribution of attacks against households in Nigeria. Violence is
harmful to consumption and food insecurity than property offences. The results are still valid when conflict in the area around the household is taken into consideration. Our findings suggest that victimisation data can be used to create safety nets in conflict-affected regions.
ARTICLE 4- Real-time monitoring of food price policy interventions during the first two years of COVID-19
Global agrifood systems have been shocked by COVID-19, with low- and middle-income nations possibly being especially impacted. The COVID-19 effort to protect from supply shocks and ensure local availability usually included export limits and import tariff reductions, among other responses, even though policy responses were less active than during the 2007–2008 global food crisis. We create a new indicator known as a monthly nominal rate of protection “express” that aims to show how policies implemented are affecting prices domestically in real-time in order to understand how they responded. This indicator aims to allow rapid market monitoring and realignment. This study looks at how this indicator changed in 24 low- and middle-income areas over the first two years of the pandemic.(cansoli et al 2019)
ARTICLE 5 -Employment and wage effects of sugar-sweetened beverage taxes and front-of-package warning label regulations on the food and beverage industry: Evidence from Peru
– In 2019, Peru introduced front-of-package warning labels on processed and ultra-processed foods and beverages that are high in sugar, saturated fats, and sodium or contain trans fats. In 2018, Peru raised its tax on sugar-sweetened beverages by 8 percentage points (from 17% to 25%). We evaluate the effects of these two policies prior to COVID-19 on total formal jobsand average wages in the food and beverage sector. In the analysis, we combine an interrupted time series analysis with the synthetic control method and use monthly administrative data for 127 manufacturing sectors from the Peruvian Ministry of Labor from January 2016 to February 2020. Overall, we discover that neither the front-of-package label rules nor the tax increase on sugar-sweetened beverages caused any employment or wage losses. ( Díaz et al 2023)
ARTICLE 6 – The impact of peer effect on students’ consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages- instrumental variable evidence from north China
Children and adolescents in China are consuming sugar at risk amounts. Chinese administrations have produced and oversaw the application of pertinent administrative regulations, but these efforts have not yielded positive outcomes. In addition to family, peers are the most significant societal influences on the behaviour and decision-making of kids and teenagers. This research looks at how SSB consumption is impacted by the peer effect. We use the nutritional cognition of peers’ parents as an instrumental variable to address the endogeneity issue and apply the two-stage least squares estimation technique to analyse the data of 4,118 students in north China in order to better understand this relationship. The findings demonstrate a significant positive correlation between peer sugar consumption, suggesting that when peers engage in sugar consumption, individuals are more likely to do the same. (Zhang et al 202
ARTICLE 7- Spillover effect of violent conflicts on food insecurity in sub-Saharan Africa
We look at how food insecurity is affected by violent strife in Malawi, Ethiopia, and Uganda. We discover a statistically significant spillover impact of violent conflict on food security in Ethiopia and Uganda using data from the Living Standard Measurement Survey and a contiguity matrix weighted on the distance between housing units. Violent conflict had negative impacts on food security in Malawi and positive effects in Ethiopia, according to statistically significant analysis. Violent conflicts, other covariates, and their direct and indirect impacts on food security are all examined. (Muriki 2023 et al )
ARTICLE 8- Quantifying war-induced crop losses in Ukraine in near real time to strengthen local and global food security
We use a 4-year panel (2019–2022) of 10,125 village councils in Ukraine to estimate effects of the war started by Russia on area and expected yield of winter crops aggregated up from the field level. Satellite imagery is used to provide information on direct damage to agricultural fields; classify crop cover using machine learning; and compute the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) for winter cereal fields as a proxy for yield. Without conflict, winter crop area would have been 9.35 rather than 8.38 million ha, a 0.97 million ha reduction, only 14% of which can be attributed to direct conflict effects. The estimated drop associated with the conflict in NDVI for winter wheat, which is particularly pronounced for small farms, translates into an additional reduction of output by about 1.9 million tons for a total of 4.84 million tons. Taking area and yield reduction together suggests a war-induced loss of winter output of up to 17% assuming the 2022 winter wheat crop was fully harvested .(Deininger 2023)
ARTICLE 9-Consumer preference for food products addressing multiple dimensions of poverty: Evidence from China
Products marketed as “poverty alleviation” are produced by underprivileged producers and sold at a profit. To examine consumer preference for goods explicitly marketed as products that reduce poverty in multiple dimensions, we conduct an online discrete choice experiment on rice in China. In terms of products that reduce poverty, we also distinguish between the nature of public and private commodities. When compared to goods whose producer income is unknown, rice produced by the poorest farmers commands a greater willingness to pay. (WTP). When compared to senior and disabled producers who are also poor, poor women producers have the greatest WTP. After identifying specific kinds of underprivileged producers, providing additional income information might not continue to increase WTP. Presenting the personal virtues, however, enhances the worth. (zhang et al 2023)
ARTICLE 10 – Food choice behavior of adolescents under parent-child interaction in the context of US school lunch programS.The purchasing of food from regional producers is a relatively new trend in school feeding programmes all over the globe. However, little is known about how student preferences for food from local sources in school meals interact with parent preferences for locally derived foods to influence joint choices about school lunches. A school lunch discrete choice experiment was integrated into a national poll we carried out in the United States. According to the findings, both students and parents favour including locally made foods on the menus for school lunches. While parent and student tastes are similar when it comes to some locally sourced meal components, they are not the same. Parents are more willing to pay for locally sourced vegetables, while students are more willing to pay for locally sourced meat.( Panchalingam 2023)
CONCLUSION
The importance of endogenizing prices in climate change simulations is highlighted by the stark differences in simulation outcomes when we enable prices to change in response to supply changes. The findings indicate that anticipated climate changes for Israel are anticipated to be advantageous to. We discovered that the tropical region’s climate decreased the quality of its soil and its agricultural output. Madagascar and other least developed African nations battle with soil management in comparison to the majority of developing Asian nations. The results are still valid when conflict in the area around the household is taken into consideration. Our findings suggest that victimisation data can be used to create safety nets in conflict-affected regions. . We create a new indicator known as a monthly nominal rate of protection “express” that aims to show how policies implemented are affecting prices domestically in real-time in order to understand how they responded. spatial distribution of attacks against households.
NIGERIA harmful to consumption and food insecurity than property offences. The COVID-19 effort to protect from supply shocks and ensure local availability usually included export limits and import tariff reductions, among other responses, even though policy responses were less active than during the 2007–2008 global food crisis. , we combine an interrupted time series analysis with the synthetic control method and use monthly administrative data for 127 manufacturing sectors from the Peruvian Ministry of Labor from January 2016 to February 2020. The findings demonstrate a significant positive correlation between peer sugar consumption, suggesting that when peers engage in sugar consumption, individuals are more likely to do the same. When compared to senior and disabled producers who are also poor, poor women producers have the greatest WTP. After identifying specific kinds of underprivileged producers, providing additional income information might not continue to increase WTP. Presenting the personal virtues, however, enhances the worth. A school lunch discrete choice experiment was integrated into a national poll we carried out in the United States. According to the findings, both students and parents favour including locally made foods on the menus for school lunches
REFERENCE
Juan-José & Sánchez, Alan & Diez-Canseco, Francisco & Jaime Miranda, J. & Popkin, Barry M., 2023. “Employment and wage effects of sugar-sweetened beverage taxes and front-of-package warning label regulations on the food and beverage industry: Evidence from Peru,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C)
Mihasina Harinaivo & Yongjian, Pu & Rabezanahary Tanteliniaina, Mirindra Finaritra,2023. “Assessment of the importance of climate, land, and soil on the global supply for agricultural products and global food security: Evidence from Madagascar,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
Iddo & Reznik, Ami & Kaminski, Jonathan & Kimhi, Ayal, 2023. “The impacts of climate change on cropland allocation, crop production, output prices and social welfare in Israel: A structural econometric framework,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C)
Kaila, Heidi & Azad, Abul, 2023. “The effects of crime and violence on food insecurity and consumption in Nigeria,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
Klaus & Ali, Daniel Ayalew & Kussul, Nataliia & Shelestov, Andrii & Lemoine, Guido & Yailimova, Hanna, 2023. “Quantifying war-induced crop losses in Ukraine in near real time to strengthen local and global food security,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
Muriuki, James & Hudson, Darren & Fuad, Syed & March, Raymond J. & Lacombe, Donald J., 2023. “Spillover effect of violent conflicts on food insecurity in sub-Saharan Africa,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(c)
Sarah & Egas Yerovi, Juan José & Machiorlatti, Matteo & Morales Opazo, Cristian, 2023. “Real-time monitoring of food price policy interventions during the first two years of COVID-19,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
Thadchaigeni & Howard, Gregory & Allen Klaiber, H. & Roe, Brian E., 2023. “Food choice behavior of adolescents under parent-child interaction in the context of US school lunch programs,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
Tong & Hu, Wuyang & Zhu, Zhanguo & Penn, Jerrod, 2023. “Consumer preference for food products addressing multiple dimensions of poverty: Evidence from China,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
Ying & Li, Ruotong & Zhao, Qiran & Fan, Shenggen, 2023. “The impact of peer effect on students’ consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages- instrumental variable evidence from north China,” Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).